Historical average voter turnout

How many votes can we expect in the upcoming election? I would guess 110,000. Although we have a good stock of candidates, only three seats are wide open (as currently held by exiting councilwomen Kathleen MacKenzie, Elbra Wedgeworth, and Rosemary Rodriguez).

Historical averages are provided below. Most interesting is the fact that municipal elections and runoff elections generally garner turnout representing 60% of the active electorate. 1999 was the only major aberration.

MUNICIPAL ELECTIONS
2003 May-06 114,492 46.85%
1999 May-04 51,494 26.40%
1995 May-02 104,358 63.2%
1991 May-21 125,453 77.4%
1987 May-19 140,270 56.3%

RUNOFF ELECTIONS
2003 Jun-03 108,217 44.8%
1995 Jun-06 124,523 68.6%
1991 Jun-18 116,531 70.7%
1987 Jun-16 157,053 62.1%